Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 5.869911 6.692484 7.599225 8.674599 9.917394 11.311153 12.996305
2025-06-08 4.634615 5.670993 6.903885 8.484807 10.467004 12.881517 16.062868
2025-06-15 4.108927 5.299121 6.798045 8.837076 11.558134 15.091506 20.071497
2025-06-22 3.643733 4.901490 6.559904 8.926851 12.251118 16.802161 23.587913
2025-06-29 3.239493 4.515836 6.265604 8.867588 12.686371 18.159874 26.733299
2025-07-06 2.901600 4.173192 5.977197 8.759108 13.005185 19.346705 29.732100
2025-07-13 2.728917 4.042151 5.966555 9.038477 13.906352 21.470124 34.403698
2025-07-20 2.561406 3.897219 5.913495 9.235902 14.686252 23.472379 39.115372
2025-07-27 2.448692 3.821816 5.953581 9.574587 15.715888 25.974119 44.970127
2025-08-03 2.233855 3.563493 5.678312 9.366003 15.803756 26.895826 48.156668
2025-08-10 2.062083 3.358383 5.468192 9.240496 16.011067 28.030444 51.851815
2025-08-17 1.914300 3.179433 5.283939 9.137574 16.239776 29.214748 55.773061
2025-08-24 1.768272 2.993389 5.075091 8.976867 16.357168 30.226771 59.538279
2025-08-31 1.631091 2.811288 4.857379 8.778249 16.380740 31.059776 63.050741
2025-09-07 1.593010 2.800483 4.940717 9.143606 17.520176 34.189092 71.790566
2025-09-14 1.518579 2.717410 4.885030 9.236750 18.128756 36.315675 78.655454
2025-09-21 1.429953 2.600860 4.757120 9.175246 18.413875 37.798575 84.277447
2025-09-28 1.342690 2.480004 4.610993 9.062671 18.578417 39.037868 89.502497
2025-10-05 1.310641 2.461963 4.660610 9.352593 19.628738 42.329585 100.118674
2025-10-12 1.270586 2.425013 4.669590 9.557493 20.513421 45.350860 110.526857
2025-10-19 1.248363 2.421468 4.744528 9.909035 21.763059 49.362668 124.097061
2025-10-26 1.169839 2.298539 4.566509 9.692529 21.684209 50.209535 129.435460
2025-11-02 1.105625 2.200459 4.432709 9.562262 21.794008 51.526740 136.256204